Politics

UNH poll: Trump’s slide in New Hampshire deepens. Ayotte and Sununu are running in his shadow

New Granite State Poll data puts the president at 37% approval, with the sharpest fresh erosion on his handling of the economy. President Donald Trump’s job approval in New Hampshire fell to 37% according to Granite State Poll data released Wednesday by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, with 62% of residents disapproving. His…

Trump's approval in New Hampshire just hit its lowest point since October 2017: 37% approve, 62% disapprove, with the economy driving the newest drop. Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu will be running in that environment this fall.

New Granite State Poll data puts the president at 37% approval, with the sharpest fresh erosion on his handling of the economy.

President Donald Trump’s job approval in New Hampshire fell to 37% according to Granite State Poll data released Wednesday by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, with 62% of residents disapproving.

His net rating of -25 is a point below June’s -24, which was already his worst reading in the state since October 2017.

The number that sank Trump most this month is on the economy.

Net approval of Trump’s handling of the economy dropped from -17 in June to -25 in July, an 8-point slide in a single month. 

His foreign affairs rating, which hit the lowest mark of either of his terms in June after the US attacked Iran, remained statistically unchanged at -27.

The slide since winter is steep.

Trump stood at -14 in February, before the Iran war, and the intensity of opposition has hardened since: 54% of all New Hampshire adults now say they strongly disapprove of the president, the fourth straight month that figure has sat at 52% or higher. His floor is holding at 79% approval among Republicans, while 23% of independents and 2% of Democrats approve. Among residents aged 18 to 34, 83% disapprove.

That is the environment Gov. Kelly Ayotte (R), who endorsed Trump, and Republican Senate frontrunner John E. Sununu will face this fall, the New Hampshire political leaders most closely connected to Trump through recent endorsements.

The Survey Center’s June election polling found Ayotte’s lead over Democrat Cinde Warmington narrowing and Sununu 3 points behind US Rep. Chris Pappas (D-Manchester) in the race for the state’s open US Senate seat.

New Hampshire’s 37% approval sits between Vermont’s 22% and Maine’s 40% in the Survey Center’s parallel July polls of the three states.

The findings come from the Granite State Poll, part of the States of Opinion Project conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The survey of 1,458 New Hampshire residents was conducted online July 15 to 20 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.6 percent.

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Colin Booth
Colin Booth Chief Political Correspondent
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  • Based in Manchester, Colin Booth is Granite Post’s political correspondent. A Granite State native and veteran political professional with a deep background in journalism, he’s worked on campaigns and programs in battleground states across the country, ranging from New Hampshire, Texas, Pennsylvania and Washington D.C.